Trade
data from the world's second largest economy, China, came in well below
expectations on Monday, heightening fears of a sharper slowdown.
China's
exports rose 4.7% in November from a year ago, compared to market forecasts of 8.2% jump.
Imports
fell 6.7% in the same period against predictions of a 3.9% rise.
The
surprise slump in imports led the trade surplus to hit a
record $54.5bn (£35bn),
the highest in 14 years.
While
the trade surplus, which is up 61% compared to last year, will add to economic
growth in the fourth quarter, it does suggest the government needs to step in
to stimulate growth, said Dariusz Kowalczyk, economist at Credit Agricole.
"[Imports
fall] is partly a reflection of lower commodity prices and base effects, but
these two factors cannot fully explain the weak import number and we have to
assume that poor domestic demand has played a part," he said.
"We
expect a reserve requirement ratio cut in December, introduction of reverse
repos this week, and another rate cut in the first quarter."
In
October, exports grew by 11.6%, while imports were higher at 4.6%.
China's
economic growth had slowed to 7.3% in the third quarter, marking its weakest
quarter since the global financial crisis as a cooling property market and
tighter credit conditions weighed on growth.
Economists
had been calling for stimulus measures from the government and the central bank
did unexpectedly cut interest rates for the first time in over two years last
month to spur activity.
BBC
Business
No comments:
Post a Comment