Monday, 8 September 2014

Stanbic, GTBank, FCMB pull bulk of banking stock gains

In the eight months to September 4, 2014, investors in Stanbic IBTC Holdings plc achieved the largest chunk of share price growth ahead of other banking stocks, followed by Guaranty Trust Bank plc, FCMB Group plc, and Ecobank Transnational Incorporated plc, BusinessDay trend watch can disclose.
Between January 3 and September 4, Stanbic IBTC plc led the basket of banking stocks after its share price rose by N8, from N21.6 to N30.40; followed by Guaranty Trust Bank plc which rallied by N0.43, from N28.88 to N29.31. FCMB plc appreciated from N3.9 to N4.24, adding N0.34; while Ecobank Transnational Incorporated plc gained N0.01, from N17 to N17.01.
While narrowing risk spectrum in the fixed income securities is said to contribute in making equities unattractive to investors, investment analysts continue to
link investors’ decisions to offload stocks to their weighing of possible impact on the market of the recent increasing risks relating to upcoming 2015 elections, insecurity in the northern part of the country which affects companies’ (particularly consumer goods) earnings, and most recently the outbreak of the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) which is hampering economic activities in major cities.
Among other subsectors at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), banking stocks are one of the most affected by the illiquidity that trailed Nigerian equities, causing the market to stumble further.
Looking at the basket, mostly affected are equities prices of United Bank for Africa (UBA) plc, Union Bank plc, Skye Bank plc, FBN Holdings plc, Diamond Bank plc, Sterling Bank plc, Zenith Bank plc, Access Bank plc, and Wema Bank plc.
The share price of United Bank for Africa plc recorded an eight-month loss of N2.13, from a record high of N9.38 as at January 3, 2014 to N7.25; followed by that of Union Bank plc, which declined by N1.84, from N10 to N8.16; while Skye Bank plc lost N1.78, from a high of N2.50 to N2.18.
FBN Holdings plc also joined the laggards after its share price lost N1.79 in eight months, from N16.29 to N14.5; Diamond Bank plc lost N1.45, from N7.56 to N6.11; Sterling Bank plc declined by N0.32, from N2.50 to N2.18; Zenith Bank plc lost N0.9, from N25.10 to N24.20; Access Bank plc dipped from N9.70 to N9.27, losing N0.43; Wema Bank plc depreciated by N0.39, from N1.3 to N0.91; while the share price of Unity Bank plc remained flat N0.5.
BusinessDay trend watch from January 3, 2014 to September 4, 2014 shows that the market declined by 1.04 percent. The stock market opened the review period with benchmark index of 41,450.48 points, losing 432.99 points to 41,017.49 points; while the value of equities listed on the main board of the stock market rose from N13.270 trillion to N13.543 trillion.
Also helping to fuel investors’ decisions out of equities were the disappointing half-year (H1) earnings released by most companies, which dimmed investors’ hope on expected corporate actions.
Recently, foreign investors that control a large chunk of trading on the local bourse began to take flight to safety, evidenced in foreign investors’ ceding of a reasonable percentage of their holding in Nigeria’s equities to retail and institutional domestic investors.
Data at the NSE shows that domestic participation at the nation’s bourse increased to N167.77 billion (about $1.08 billion) in July 2014, up 81.77 percent from January 2014.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPI) ceded about 49.66 percent of trading to domestic investors as foreign transactions decreased significantly, from 49.28 percent to 25.17 percent, over the same period.
Total transactions increased by 23.20 percent, from N181.97 billion in January to N224.19 billion in July, and FPI inflows accounted for 14.58 percent of total transactions, while the outflows accounted for 10.59 percent of the total transactions in July 2014.

BusinessDay

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