Japan's
economy has shown signs of stagnation and some weakness as households spent
less and factory output stayed flat in July.
Official
data released on Friday also showed consumer inflation stayed unmoved at 3.3%
from the month before.
Japan
raised its sales tax from 5% to 8% in April so analysts said "real"
inflation for July was actually 1.3%.
Japan's
economy, which is the world's third-largest, suffered from deflation for almost
two decades.
The
central bank's current target for the inflation rate is 2%.
Sales tax
Since
coming to power in 2012, Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has seen his various
reforms aimed at reviving the economy provide some relief to the country's
deflation concerns.
Mr
Abe's reforms, dubbed 'Abenomics', have been aimed at boosting inflation, among
other targets, in the hope that consumers would spend instead of save.
An
employee of Toyota Motor's subsidiary Toyota Motor Kyushu at the Kanda Plant in
Kanda, Fukuoka Prefecture, on August 7, 2014 Factory output in Japan stayed
reasonably flat in July, rising just 0.2% from the month before, falling short
of expectations
Private
consumption makes up some 60% of Japan's economic activity and deflation trends
in the country had seen consumers hold onto their money in the hope of even
lower prices later on.
Retail
sales in July showed some small hope, rising by 0.5% from a year earlier, after
a fall of 0.6% in June.
Overall
however April's controversial sales tax hike may have had an adverse impact on
the economy, at least in the short term, hurting the nation's purchasing power.
In
the April-to-June period, official data showed Japan's economy had contracted
by 1.7% , compared to the earlier quarter.
And
on an annualised basis, data showed it had shrunk by 6.8% - though the numbers
followed large gains in the previous quarter.
Not all bad
"Basically
price trends in Japan have been stabilising," Martin Schulz from the
Fujitsu Research Institute in Tokyo told the BBC on Friday.
"We
had this big shock in April, when the sales tax hike was increasing costs for
consumers by 3%, and real incomes were diving down as well," he said.
"This
leaves 1.3% real consumer inflation in Japan, which is a comparatively good
level, but it doesn't mean we are already on a positive trend."
Mr
Schulz said while the nation's economy would likely not see an upward trend in
the coming months, that the current economic landscape should encourage the
government to introduce even further reforms.
"We
are very much hoping that the economy is recovering," he explained,
"and we are expecting third-quarter growth of about 2.5%."
"And
this should be increasing a little bit towards the end of the year … and that
will make people more positive in their overall outlook, which would help
create a positive trend."
BBC
Business
No comments:
Post a Comment