A
family-run concrete business in Michigan, the U.S.’s second-biggest carmaker,
the largest railroad and a solar power provider in California are all hiring as
industrial companies lead a broad labor-market rebound that’s on pace to add
the most jobs in 15 years.
Employment
may be headed for a “breakout year” as companies feel more secure adding to
payrolls following several years of demand rising only to stumble on threats
from U.S. budget standoffs, a debt-ceiling induced default and a European credit
crisis, said Marisa Di Natale, a director at Moody’s Analytics.
“It’s
the first year in several where we haven’t had some kind of
manufactured fiscal
showdown in Washington, which weighs on business confidence and consumer
confidence,” Di Natale said.
Industries
from construction to autos to oil and gas are increasing jobs as growth
accelerates after a harsh winter stunted business. As some sectors, such as
floor retail sales, have yet to rebound and wages have been kept in check, the
recovery is likely to be a steady climb rather than a boom, according to
Jeffrey Joerres, executive chairman of Milwaukee-based staffing company
Manpowergroup Inc.
Nonfarm
payrolls may rise by 215,000 in June, which would mark a fifth straight month
of increases topping 200,000, according to the median of 89 economists’
estimates ahead of the Labor Department’s monthly employment report on July 3.
That also would be the longest streak of monthly gains since September
1999-January 2000.
Help Wanted
Help-wanted
signs at concrete company Kent Cos. is one indication of a hiring rebound that
could create more than 2.56 million jobs, the most since 1999, if the pace is
sustained. Warren Buffett’s BNSF Railway Co. plans to grow by 2,100 positions
in 2014. SolarCity Corp. (SCTY) is adding 400 people a month at the rooftop
power-system installer backed by Elon Musk. At Ford Motor Co., hiring is so
strong that the automaker predicts it may beat a 2011 plan to bring on 12,000
new workers by 2015.
“We
do see and feel and hear from our clients that there is a building of demand,”
Manpower’s Joerres said. Many employers that once held off on hiring now can’t
wait any longer because “they have stretched everyone for the most part to the
maximum.”
Jeff
VanderLaan, chief executive officer at Kent Cos., plans to add 100 people this
year, a 27 percent jump in his workforce to a record 475. The Grand Rapids,
Michigan-based provider of services such as pouring floors and installing piers
is seeing business boom in Texas, North Carolina and Ohio.
Economic Growth
“If
you have a desire and can write your name and will go out and work hard, you
can get a job here today,” said VanderLaan, who expects $110 million in revenue
this year, more than double 2010’s figure.
The
U.S. economy is forecast to accelerate after year-on-year growth slowed to 1.5
percent in the first quarter when severe snowstorms battered the U.S. and kept
customers away from stores, shut factories and gummed up transportation of
goods.
With
consumer spending still tepid, companies aren’t hiring in anticipation demand
will rise, as in other recoveries, Joerres said. Instead they are they are
expanding when they have orders in hand, he said.
“We’re
not seeing wage inflation at the rate you would think and we’re not seeing
increased hours worked at the rate you would think,” said Joerres, whose firm
has more than 400,000 clients worldwide.
Positive Signs
Still,
the signs are positive, he said. Temporary help and employment services both
saw jobs jump more than 8 percent in May from a year earlier. May employment
growth was also driven by the oil and gas extraction industry at 7.6 percent
and building construction at 5.2 percent. Outpatient care jumped 5.8 percent
and motor vehicles and auto parts climbed 4.3 percent.
The
continued recovery in homebuilding is crucial for the job market, Di Natale
said. Beyond the direct construction jobs, new homebuilding spurs purchases of
carpets, flooring, lighting, appliances and furniture. Moody’s is forecasting
job growth of 1.8 percent this year, which would be the highest rate since
2005, and for it to peak at 2.4 percent in 2016.
Housing
starts on an annual basis surpassed 1 million in May and April. They had
declined to as low as 478,000 in April 2009, creating pent-up need for homes
and apartments.
“We’re
expecting housing demand to pick up a lot over the next few years and that’s
actually what underpins the strength of our forecast,” Di Natale said.
Building Boom
Marty
Mitchell, CEO of Mitchell & Best Homes LLC, has contracted six employees
since the fall, the first time he’s had to expand his workforce since 2006. His
isn’t the only homebuilder hiring. D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI), the U.S.’s largest
new-home builder, brought on 700 new employees over a 12-month period ending in
January, the company said in a conference call then.
Mitchell
had 82 workers at the peak of the building boom in 2006 and slashed that figure
to 17 before the recent hiring. Mitchell & Best, the Rockville,
Maryland-based homebuilder, is ramping up to deliver 50 to 60 homes next year,
about double from 30 this year as the housing recovery “is plodding along,”
Mitchell said.
“It’s
exciting to hire people again as opposed to hunkering down,” Mitchell said in a
telephone interview.
SolarCity
is hiring 400 workers a month with the majority of positions in installation,
sales and call centers as demand for roof-top solar power revs up, said Hayes
Barnard, chief revenue officer, in a telephone interview.
Technology Boom
“There’s
increased demand from residential homeowners who are interested in solar power
and we have reached a tipping point,” Barnard said. “These are jobs being added
across the country.”
Positions
for software developers, computer systems analysts and financial compliance
officers are getting hard to fill, said Paul McDonald, senior executive
director of Robert Half International Inc., the Menlo Park, California-based
professional employment service company.
The
boom in technology has driven the unemployment rate below 1 percent in the
industry. New financial regulations and requirements for the Affordable Care
Act are also boosting demand for professionals, he said.
“I’m
not seeing weakness. There’s strong demand in our professional sectors,”
McDonald said. “After going through some dark times in the past five to seven
years, it’s nice to see that the sun is coming out just a bit.”
Bloomberg
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